Supplai

The autonomous AI demand planning platform

Working 24/7 to save you time and money,

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Sample data
Good afternoon, Lucas Nine forecasts came back clean and three decisions are open.
Open the plan
Decision queue
S&OP cycle — November The order is the cycle: a stage unlocks when the one before it is signed
1 overdue
Cycle day4 / 12
Stages signed2 / 5
Processv3 · 5 stages
Plan signature9 dic
1 Planner reviewQueue cleared. Two lines flagged for short history. Demand MDMartín Díaz signed day 4 Signed
2 External variablesDólar blue adopted at a 3-week lag. Weather rejected. Demand AGAgente · señales signed day 6 Signed
3 Commercial inputsBlack Friday still has no expected impact loaded. Commercial CRCarla Ruiz due day 8 Overdue
4 ConsensusUnlocks when commercial inputs are signed. Finance SPSofía Pérez day 12 Locked
5 Executive signature Leadership LAL. Argento day 18 Locked

A stage closes when somebody signs it, with the note that says what they decided. Changing the process takes effect next cycle — November keeps the stages it started with.

August 2026Closedsigned 19 Aug · 18 days · no delays Plan1.19MActual1.14MPlan vs actual+4.4%
The decision

We signed the full commercial plan despite the capacity gap in footwear. If the week-34 container does not land, we prioritise Retail over Wholesale and tell the three big accounts before they notice.

LALucas Argento · 19 Aug

Planner reviewQueue cleared. Two lines flagged for short history.Demand4 Aug

External variablesNo relevant change this month.Agent · signals6 Aug

Commercial inputsLoaded the winter clearance promos with evidence.Commercial8 Aug

ConsensusTook Sales minus 2%: they were optimistic on footwear.Finance12 Aug

Executive signatureSee the decision.Leadership18 Aug

July 2026Closedsigned 16 Jul · 15 days · 1 stage late Plan1.08MActual1.11MPlan vs actual−2.7%
June 2026Closedsigned 22 Jun · 21 days · 2 stages late Plan1.02MActual0.94MPlan vs actual+8.5%
May 2026Closedsigned 20 May · 17 days · no delays Plan0.98MActual1.01MPlan vs actual−3.0%
StageTeamWho signsDue day
1 Statistical baseline Automatic Agent · forecast −2+
2 Planner review Demand MDMartín Díaz −4+
3 External variables Demand Agent · signals −6+
4 Commercial inputs Commercial CRCarla Ruiz −8+
5 Consensus Finance SPSofía Pérez −12+
6 Executive signature Leadership LALucas Argento −18+

A stage can be answered by a person or by an agent — the baseline and the signal review are the agent’s, the signature never is. Changes take effect next cycle: November keeps the stages it started with.

Demand plan Review the AI forecasts and adjust the predictions where you need to
Freeze this version
Filter categories / products… 4 periods · 7 Sep → 28 Sep · weekly
Item jun jul AI forecast Trend Adjustment Accuracy Δ Horizon Status
Products Every line with its class, its history and how predictable it actually is
1 842 SKUs · 36 plan lines
Active SKUs1 842
With 52+ weeks of history74%
Intermittent318
New, no history46
Item Category Class History Forecastability Lifecycle
Sartén 28 cmCocinaA · X117 w92Live
Olla a presión 6LCocinaA · Y41 w74Live
Pava eléctrica 1.7LCocinaB · X96 w88Live
Sábanas 2 plazasTextil hogarA · Y104 w76Live
Acolchado kingTextil hogarB · Z88 w68Phasing out
Termo 1LBazarA · X104 w90Live
Cafetera italiana 6tCocinaC · Z19 w54Ramp-up
Set mate premiumBazarB · Y7 w38New
Repuesto válvula 6LRepuestosC · Z63 w47Live
Events Promotions, launches and disruptions — each with what it is expected to do
New event
November 2026 Today Search event…
MonTueWed ThuFriSatSun
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Quiebre · Termo 1L Hot Sale · MercadoLibre
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Quiebre · Termo 1L Tradición
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Quiebre · Termo 1L Customer week
23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Lista de precios +12% · Cocina Black Friday — 30% OFF + 3x2
30 1 2 3 4 5 6 Black Friday Cyber Monday
Promos and marketing Prices Portfolio Shared calendar

The outlined bars come from the shared calendar — the holidays and retail dates everyone has. Click one to declare what you expect it to do in your case, or any empty day to add your own.

Signals Track anything that moves your demand, and measure what it is actually worth
New signal
Series tracked11
In the model4
Error explained11 pts
Re-scoredweekly
Agent Ask it to watch something, in your own words

Hey — keep an eye on the price of steel for me, and any news of transport strikes around Buenos Aires.

LA

I searched 41 public sources, dropped 38 on frequency or coverage and backtested the rest at every lag. Three things worth watching, and one that is not:

Rolled steel price — IPAsteel chamber · monthly · ARS/t · 8 years +1.8%usable, lag 6w Adopt Connect
Road freight cost index — FADEEACfadeeac · monthly · index · 11 years +0.9%usable, lag 4w On hold Connect
“Transport strike” — press mentions, ARagent · daily · count · 3 years — it happens and it ends, so it belongs on the calendar 7in 12 months Event Create event
Acero LME (USD/t)lme · daily · USD/t — arrives revised, and its own projection does not reach the plan horizon −0.3%usable Rejected Why
still reading the press archive for the transport strikes…
Ask it to watch something else… Ask
the weather in Rosario Brazilian holidays freight price to Chile my competitor’s stock on MercadoLibre
Replenishment · finished goods What to order this week, sized on each supplier’s real lead time
Optimise
Capital released−$1.9M
Service level96.0% held
SKUs to order214
Stockout risk−1.8 pts
Item AI forecast · 4w Lead time On hand Safety stock Reorder point Order now Status
Sartén 28 cm1 20521 d9803401 1201 400Order now
Olla a presión 6L90234 d410290700900At risk
Pava eléctrica 1.7L1 39021 d2 1003801 240—Covered
Termo 1L1 81045 d6205401 4602 200At risk
Sábanas 2 plazas2 32028 d3 0506101 900—Covered
Acolchado king1 14528 d3803009801 300Order now
Set mate premium46014 d120150330500Order now
Repuesto válvula 6L14060 d90110200300At risk
Cafetera italiana 6t78030 d1 240260640—Covered
Toallas algodón 500g1 96024 d5404801 5802 100At risk
Juego de cuchillos 6p62038 d910210520—Covered
Almohada viscoelástica1 43028 d4003701 1901 600Order now
Batía de cocina 10p34052 d150180290450At risk
Vajilla 24 piezas89035 d1 480240720—Covered
Manta polar queen1 27026 d6203201 0401 200Order now
Set organizadores2 05018 d2 3804301 660—Covered
Repuesto filtro pava21058 d70140180350At risk
Routing — Tuesday dispatch, AMBA The same 214 drops and the same time windows, two fewer trucks on the street
Build routes
Kilometres1 284 −17%
Trucks10 −2
Drops / hour4.6 +21%
Cost per drop$3.18 −14%
Depot Today · 12 routes Proposed · one colour per truck
Scheduling — lines 1 to 10, week 47 Sequenced by family so the changeovers collapse, inside the dates sales promised
Rebuild the week
Utilisation87% +9 pts
On time96% +4 pts
Changeover hours11.5 −45%
Late orders1
MonTueWedThuFri
Cocina Bazar Textil Late against promise Changeover
Proposed sequence · line 3
Pricing · elasticity How much volume moves per point of price, measured line by line
Optimise prices
Margin on the table+$640k
Lines with measured elasticity312 / 1 842
Median elasticity−1.8
Suggested vs current+2.4%
Olla a presión 6L — margin against priceelasticity −2.3 · measured on 14 weeks of price changes
Margin Volume Price today
ItemPrice todayElasticity Optimal priceΔ VolumeΔ Margin
Olla a presión 6L$42 900−2.3$45 100−5.2%+$84k
Sartén 28 cm$18 400−0.9$19 900−3.0%+$121k
Termo 1L$27 500−3.1$25 900+9.8%+$96k
Sábanas 2 plazas$61 200−1.4$63 800−3.6%+$142k
Acolchado king$88 000−2.8$84 500+11.2%+$77k
Set mate premium$34 900−0.6$38 400−2.1%+$120k
Media mix What each peso of spend actually did, with its saturation curve and its carryover
Reallocate
Monthly spend$2.4M
Incremental ROAS3.4×
Revenue not from media61%
Same money, better placed+$310k
Where the demand came from — last 12 monthsbaseline, media and events, decomposed weekly
ChannelSpendContribution Incr. ROASSaturationMove
Meta · prospecting$780k$2.1M2.7×86%−$120k
Google · search$610k$3.4M5.6×48%+$180k
Meta · retargeting$240k$1.1M4.6×71%+$40k
TikTok$180k$390k2.2×34%+$60k
Influencers$320k$640k2.0×62%−$80k
Email · own list$40k$820k20.5×22%+$20k
Demand planning

Take your demand planning into the future with AI.

Get ahead of your sales, across every product and every channel, with AI models trained on your own data and built to win back time and money.

Demand planning & forecasting

A model trained for every product in your portfolio

Supplai trains models specific to your products without you writing a line of code or worrying about how to keep them running. Every week you get a professional forecast, built on your own data, waiting for you with your morning coffee.

Agent briefing

Events and promotions

Promotions, events, holidays and special dates the AI takes into account

Use our standard events and load your own: from that moment the models start taking them into account in your forecasts. And we measure the historical impact of every event on each one of your products.

Agent briefing

External signals

Deploy agents to watch and analyse your market

Tell it what moves your operation: macro variables, competitor prices, whatever it is for you. Set it to watch and to measure the impact on your sales. The next plan arrives with the agent’s read on top of the statistical forecast.

Agent briefing

Briefing agent

A read of your own week, written before you open anything

The agent reads what the market did, what your numbers did against the plan and what changed inside the company, and leaves a short brief per product line: what moved, what explains it, and what is worth looking at first.

Agent briefing

Planning cycle

Run your planning cycle, and make the system better one iteration at a time

Visibility, tracking and owners across the whole process, with every stage and its date in one place. Each closed cycle is measured against what actually happened, and the overrides people write are kept with the reason they gave — the next cycle starts from there.

Agent briefing

Typical ranges

What doing this properly moves.

Bringing this level of technology to your supply chain can move numbers of this order. Forecasting and inventory optimisation, done properly, are what move them.

−15% to −30% Forecast error Demand planning

On weekly SKU-location series, against whatever baseline the company was running.

−10% to −25% Inventory held Stock optimisation

At the same fill rate, by moving cover to where the uncertainty actually is.

−20% to −40% Stockouts Demand + replenishment

The lines that were going to run out, seen far enough ahead to do something.

+2 to +5 pts Service level Stock optimisation

Or the same service level for less capital — the optimiser is told which one you want.

−50% to −70% Time to build the plan The whole platform

The planner stops assembling the number and starts arguing with it, which is the job.

How it works

We build it, we run it, we watch it — and we keep the receipt.

We combine forecasting models that have been earning their keep for decades with frontier optimisation maths — and the agents customise the whole thing to your operation, at the start and again every week as it moves.

Which is why “the AI guessed it” is never the answer to why a number is what it is. A number came from a named model, fitted on dated data, with a measured error — and the agent can show you all three.

Security & data

Your data is safe, and stays yours.

We run on first-line infrastructure, we audit what we build, and we certify it. Google Cloud, SOC 2 Type II under way, encryption end to end, and a mutual NDA before anything moves.

Where it livesProfessional cloud infrastructure

Your data lives on Google Cloud (GCP), encrypted at rest and in transit.

Who can reach itYour organisation, and nobody else’s

Every record is scoped to your organisation at the database layer, not by a filter in the application. Roles are owner, admin, member and viewer, and every write is stamped with who made it.

TrainingWe do not train on your data

Your series never leave your project to improve anything of ours or anybody else’s. The models are fitted on your data, for you, and they stay there.

ComplianceSOC 2 Type II in progress

Controls are implemented and the observation window is running. The report will be available under NDA when it closes; the control list is available now.

PaperworkNDA before the first file

A mutual NDA is signed before any data moves, including for the pilot. DPA and standard contractual clauses on request.

LeavingYour data comes back out

Full export in open formats at any time, and deletion within thirty days of asking — backups included, with written confirmation.

Google Cloud SOC 2 Type II · in progress Mutual NDA DPA · SCCs Encryption at rest & in transit Audit trail on every write
Questions

The questions we get asked most

Still wondering about something? Book a call and we’ll talk it through.

Is Supplai demand forecasting software?

Yes. Demand forecasting is the core of the platform: forecasts by SKU and location, reconciled hierarchically and scored against your own history. The S&OP and IBP cycle and inventory optimization run on that same number. It is a SaaS product built in Argentina, in Spanish and English.

Do you charge for implementation?

No. There is no implementation fee and no professional-services line. The pilot is the implementation: we load your history, wire the connectors and hand you a plan, and if you stay it carries straight into the subscription.

What data do you need to start?

Sales history by SKU and location is enough to start forecasting — two years is the ideal, twelve months will do. Current stock is what lets us repair the weeks the shelf was empty, so a stockout stops teaching the model that nobody wanted the line. The modules downstream need their own inputs to be modelled properly: lead times and costs for replenishment, capacities and changeovers for scheduling, addresses and time windows for routing. A CSV export works; a connection to your ERP works better.

Does it connect to what we already run?

ERPs, ecommerce and spreadsheets: SAP, Dynamics, Odoo, Tango, Mercado Libre, Tiendanube, Shopify, Google Sheets. If yours is not on the list, the connector is something our agents write, which is the point of having them.

Which models actually take part?

Gradient boosting (LightGBM, XGBoost), the classical statistical family (ETS, ARIMA, Theta, seasonal naive as the reference everything is scored against), neural networks built for series (N-BEATS, NHITS, TFT, LSTM), pre-trained foundation models for time series (TimeGPT, Chronos, TimesFM, Moirai) that give a usable forecast on a line that barely has a history yet, intermittent-demand models (Croston, TSB) for anything that sells in bursts with long gaps between them, and global models trained across your whole catalogue for the lines with too little history of their own. New ones go on the bench as they are published — and every week we fit more than a thousand variants per customer, so each series ends up with whichever one measures best on it, not whichever one was fashionable when you signed.

What variables do the models use?

Yours first: sales by SKU-location, price and discount, promotions, the stockouts we repaired, lead times, your commercial calendar, and the product and channel hierarchy. The models also read the shape of the series itself — the trend, the seasonality of the year and the one inside the week, and the level a line settles at after something changes. Then the outside world: holidays, weather, FX, search interest, competitor prices, sector indices. A variable only stays in if it lowers the measured error on your own history, which is why most of them do not.

Who actually decides — the agent or my team?

Your team, every time. The agents propose and explain; a person approves. Every override is stored with its reason and its author, and scored against what the model would have done — which is how the platform learns who to listen to.

What happens when the forecast is wrong?

It gets measured. Every run is scored against what actually happened, on the same reference, and you see the error per line before you commit to anything. A series we cannot grade is labelled ungradable rather than given a number.

Do we need a data scientist to run this?

No. The models, the features and the constraints are the agents’ work, reviewed by our team. What your planner brings is the judgement about your business, which is the part no model has.

Do you train models on our data?

Never for anyone else. Your series stay in your project, the models are fitted on your data for you, and nothing from your operation improves anything of ours or of another customer’s.

What if we want to leave?

Full export in open formats at any time, deletion within thirty days of asking, backups included, with written confirmation. Monthly plans cancel monthly.

On the way

What we are building next.

The decisions that sit downstream of the demand number. They are not open yet — these are the ones being built, and they will read the same plan the rest of the platform reads.

Price optimisation

Where the margin peaks on each line, from the same demand curve the plan is built on.

Media mix modelling

What each channel actually contributed, separated from seasonality and from price.

Production scheduling

Sequencing by family against the capacity you already own, so changeovers stop eating it.

Last-mile routing

Fewer kilometres on the same promises, with delivery windows and driver hours as hard limits.

Get started

Bring your sales data. Leave with a plan that was graded.

We load your sales, run the first forecast, and show you what it would have said last quarter against what actually happened. If the backtest does not convince you, nothing else on this page should.