Where the margin peaks on each line, from the same demand curve the plan is built on.
The autonomous AI demand planning platform
Working 24/7 to save you time and money,
A stage closes when somebody signs it, with the note that says what they decided. Changing the process takes effect next cycle — November keeps the stages it started with.
We signed the full commercial plan despite the capacity gap in footwear. If the week-34 container does not land, we prioritise Retail over Wholesale and tell the three big accounts before they notice.
LALucas Argento · 19 Aug
Planner reviewQueue cleared. Two lines flagged for short history.Demand4 Aug
External variablesNo relevant change this month.Agent · signals6 Aug
Commercial inputsLoaded the winter clearance promos with evidence.Commercial8 Aug
ConsensusTook Sales minus 2%: they were optimistic on footwear.Finance12 Aug
Executive signatureSee the decision.Leadership18 Aug
A stage can be answered by a person or by an agent — the baseline and the signal review are the agent’s, the signature never is. Changes take effect next cycle: November keeps the stages it started with.
| Item | jun | jul | AI forecast | Trend | Adjustment | Accuracy | Δ Horizon | Status |
|---|
| Item | Category | Class | History | Forecastability | Lifecycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sartén 28 cm | Cocina | A · X | 117 w | 92 | Live |
| Olla a presión 6L | Cocina | A · Y | 41 w | 74 | Live |
| Pava eléctrica 1.7L | Cocina | B · X | 96 w | 88 | Live |
| Sábanas 2 plazas | Textil hogar | A · Y | 104 w | 76 | Live |
| Acolchado king | Textil hogar | B · Z | 88 w | 68 | Phasing out |
| Termo 1L | Bazar | A · X | 104 w | 90 | Live |
| Cafetera italiana 6t | Cocina | C · Z | 19 w | 54 | Ramp-up |
| Set mate premium | Bazar | B · Y | 7 w | 38 | New |
| Repuesto válvula 6L | Repuestos | C · Z | 63 w | 47 | Live |
The outlined bars come from the shared calendar — the holidays and retail dates everyone has. Click one to declare what you expect it to do in your case, or any empty day to add your own.
Hey — keep an eye on the price of steel for me, and any news of transport strikes around Buenos Aires.
LAI searched 41 public sources, dropped 38 on frequency or coverage and backtested the rest at every lag. Three things worth watching, and one that is not:
| Item | AI forecast · 4w | Lead time | On hand | Safety stock | Reorder point | Order now | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sartén 28 cm | 1 205 | 21 d | 980 | 340 | 1 120 | 1 400 | Order now |
| Olla a presión 6L | 902 | 34 d | 410 | 290 | 700 | 900 | At risk |
| Pava eléctrica 1.7L | 1 390 | 21 d | 2 100 | 380 | 1 240 | — | Covered |
| Termo 1L | 1 810 | 45 d | 620 | 540 | 1 460 | 2 200 | At risk |
| Sábanas 2 plazas | 2 320 | 28 d | 3 050 | 610 | 1 900 | — | Covered |
| Acolchado king | 1 145 | 28 d | 380 | 300 | 980 | 1 300 | Order now |
| Set mate premium | 460 | 14 d | 120 | 150 | 330 | 500 | Order now |
| Repuesto válvula 6L | 140 | 60 d | 90 | 110 | 200 | 300 | At risk |
| Cafetera italiana 6t | 780 | 30 d | 1 240 | 260 | 640 | — | Covered |
| Toallas algodón 500g | 1 960 | 24 d | 540 | 480 | 1 580 | 2 100 | At risk |
| Juego de cuchillos 6p | 620 | 38 d | 910 | 210 | 520 | — | Covered |
| Almohada viscoelástica | 1 430 | 28 d | 400 | 370 | 1 190 | 1 600 | Order now |
| Batía de cocina 10p | 340 | 52 d | 150 | 180 | 290 | 450 | At risk |
| Vajilla 24 piezas | 890 | 35 d | 1 480 | 240 | 720 | — | Covered |
| Manta polar queen | 1 270 | 26 d | 620 | 320 | 1 040 | 1 200 | Order now |
| Set organizadores | 2 050 | 18 d | 2 380 | 430 | 1 660 | — | Covered |
| Repuesto filtro pava | 210 | 58 d | 70 | 140 | 180 | 350 | At risk |
| Item | Price today | Elasticity | Optimal price | Δ Volume | Δ Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olla a presión 6L | $42 900 | −2.3 | $45 100 | −5.2% | +$84k |
| Sartén 28 cm | $18 400 | −0.9 | $19 900 | −3.0% | +$121k |
| Termo 1L | $27 500 | −3.1 | $25 900 | +9.8% | +$96k |
| Sábanas 2 plazas | $61 200 | −1.4 | $63 800 | −3.6% | +$142k |
| Acolchado king | $88 000 | −2.8 | $84 500 | +11.2% | +$77k |
| Set mate premium | $34 900 | −0.6 | $38 400 | −2.1% | +$120k |
Take your demand planning into the future with AI.
Get ahead of your sales, across every product and every channel, with AI models trained on your own data and built to win back time and money.
A model trained for every product in your portfolio
Supplai trains models specific to your products without you writing a line of code or worrying about how to keep them running. Every week you get a professional forecast, built on your own data, waiting for you with your morning coffee.
Promotions, events, holidays and special dates the AI takes into account
Use our standard events and load your own: from that moment the models start taking them into account in your forecasts. And we measure the historical impact of every event on each one of your products.
Deploy agents to watch and analyse your market
Tell it what moves your operation: macro variables, competitor prices, whatever it is for you. Set it to watch and to measure the impact on your sales. The next plan arrives with the agent’s read on top of the statistical forecast.
A read of your own week, written before you open anything
The agent reads what the market did, what your numbers did against the plan and what changed inside the company, and leaves a short brief per product line: what moved, what explains it, and what is worth looking at first.
Run your planning cycle, and make the system better one iteration at a time
Visibility, tracking and owners across the whole process, with every stage and its date in one place. Each closed cycle is measured against what actually happened, and the overrides people write are kept with the reason they gave — the next cycle starts from there.
What doing this properly moves.
Bringing this level of technology to your supply chain can move numbers of this order. Forecasting and inventory optimisation, done properly, are what move them.
On weekly SKU-location series, against whatever baseline the company was running.
At the same fill rate, by moving cover to where the uncertainty actually is.
The lines that were going to run out, seen far enough ahead to do something.
Or the same service level for less capital — the optimiser is told which one you want.
The planner stops assembling the number and starts arguing with it, which is the job.
We build it, we run it, we watch it — and we keep the receipt.
We combine forecasting models that have been earning their keep for decades with frontier optimisation maths — and the agents customise the whole thing to your operation, at the start and again every week as it moves.
Which is why “the AI guessed it” is never the answer to why a number is what it is. A number came from a named model, fitted on dated data, with a measured error — and the agent can show you all three.
Your data is safe, and stays yours.
We run on first-line infrastructure, we audit what we build, and we certify it. Google Cloud, SOC 2 Type II under way, encryption end to end, and a mutual NDA before anything moves.
Your data lives on Google Cloud (GCP), encrypted at rest and in transit.
Every record is scoped to your organisation at the database layer, not by a filter in the application. Roles are owner, admin, member and viewer, and every write is stamped with who made it.
Your series never leave your project to improve anything of ours or anybody else’s. The models are fitted on your data, for you, and they stay there.
Controls are implemented and the observation window is running. The report will be available under NDA when it closes; the control list is available now.
A mutual NDA is signed before any data moves, including for the pilot. DPA and standard contractual clauses on request.
Full export in open formats at any time, and deletion within thirty days of asking — backups included, with written confirmation.
The questions we get asked most
Still wondering about something? Book a call and we’ll talk it through.
Is Supplai demand forecasting software?
Yes. Demand forecasting is the core of the platform: forecasts by SKU and location, reconciled hierarchically and scored against your own history. The S&OP and IBP cycle and inventory optimization run on that same number. It is a SaaS product built in Argentina, in Spanish and English.
Do you charge for implementation?
No. There is no implementation fee and no professional-services line. The pilot is the implementation: we load your history, wire the connectors and hand you a plan, and if you stay it carries straight into the subscription.
What data do you need to start?
Sales history by SKU and location is enough to start forecasting — two years is the ideal, twelve months will do. Current stock is what lets us repair the weeks the shelf was empty, so a stockout stops teaching the model that nobody wanted the line. The modules downstream need their own inputs to be modelled properly: lead times and costs for replenishment, capacities and changeovers for scheduling, addresses and time windows for routing. A CSV export works; a connection to your ERP works better.
Does it connect to what we already run?
ERPs, ecommerce and spreadsheets: SAP, Dynamics, Odoo, Tango, Mercado Libre, Tiendanube, Shopify, Google Sheets. If yours is not on the list, the connector is something our agents write, which is the point of having them.
Which models actually take part?
Gradient boosting (LightGBM, XGBoost), the classical statistical family (ETS, ARIMA, Theta, seasonal naive as the reference everything is scored against), neural networks built for series (N-BEATS, NHITS, TFT, LSTM), pre-trained foundation models for time series (TimeGPT, Chronos, TimesFM, Moirai) that give a usable forecast on a line that barely has a history yet, intermittent-demand models (Croston, TSB) for anything that sells in bursts with long gaps between them, and global models trained across your whole catalogue for the lines with too little history of their own. New ones go on the bench as they are published — and every week we fit more than a thousand variants per customer, so each series ends up with whichever one measures best on it, not whichever one was fashionable when you signed.
What variables do the models use?
Yours first: sales by SKU-location, price and discount, promotions, the stockouts we repaired, lead times, your commercial calendar, and the product and channel hierarchy. The models also read the shape of the series itself — the trend, the seasonality of the year and the one inside the week, and the level a line settles at after something changes. Then the outside world: holidays, weather, FX, search interest, competitor prices, sector indices. A variable only stays in if it lowers the measured error on your own history, which is why most of them do not.
Who actually decides — the agent or my team?
Your team, every time. The agents propose and explain; a person approves. Every override is stored with its reason and its author, and scored against what the model would have done — which is how the platform learns who to listen to.
What happens when the forecast is wrong?
It gets measured. Every run is scored against what actually happened, on the same reference, and you see the error per line before you commit to anything. A series we cannot grade is labelled ungradable rather than given a number.
Do we need a data scientist to run this?
No. The models, the features and the constraints are the agents’ work, reviewed by our team. What your planner brings is the judgement about your business, which is the part no model has.
Do you train models on our data?
Never for anyone else. Your series stay in your project, the models are fitted on your data for you, and nothing from your operation improves anything of ours or of another customer’s.
What if we want to leave?
Full export in open formats at any time, deletion within thirty days of asking, backups included, with written confirmation. Monthly plans cancel monthly.
What we are building next.
The decisions that sit downstream of the demand number. They are not open yet — these are the ones being built, and they will read the same plan the rest of the platform reads.
What each channel actually contributed, separated from seasonality and from price.
Sequencing by family against the capacity you already own, so changeovers stop eating it.
Fewer kilometres on the same promises, with delivery windows and driver hours as hard limits.
Bring your sales data. Leave with a plan that was graded.
We load your sales, run the first forecast, and show you what it would have said last quarter against what actually happened. If the backtest does not convince you, nothing else on this page should.
Four weeks, with your data.
We load your history, run the plan beside whatever you use today, and you keep the comparison — whichever way it goes.
We already have the rest — we will come to the call having read your operation, not asking you to explain it.
Open the booking page in a new tab